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Fantasy Football Week 11: Start and Sit - The San Diego Union-Tribune

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Here’s a look back at Week 10’s action, and fantasy advice for the week ahead:

WEEK 10 RECAP

Dolphins 22, Ravens 10: Only Jaylen Waddle played more snaps and ran more routes than Mike Gesicki for Miami. Gesicki had a team-high seven targets and zero receptions — one of the flukiest outcomes this fantasy season.

Cowboys 43, Falcons 3: Ezekiel Elliott has scored at least eight touchdowns in all six seasons he’s played in the NFL.

Titans 23, Saints 21: D’Onta Foreman played the most snaps (21) and had the most carries (11) of Tennessee’s running backs.

Colts 23, Jaguars 17: Dan Arnold is still available in almost 70 percent of leagues after producing seven targets, four receptions and 60 yards in four of the last five games. Arnold is TE7 in PPR since Week 5.

Patriots 45, Browns 7: A ridiculous 22.6 percent (seven-of-31) of Hunter Henry’s receptions have gone for a touchdown this season. We thought Robert Tonyan’s 21.2 percent was incredible in 2020.

Bills 45, Jets 17: This game had the perfect script for Zack Moss or Devin Singletary (or both) to have a great game, yet neither had more than seven carries and Matt Breida scored two touchdowns. It’s getting harder and harder to trust either going forward.

Lions 16, Steelers 16 (OT): File away Jermar Jefferson looking dynamic in limited action during Detroit’s last two games. Jefferson produced 70 total yards and two touchdowns on nine touches before injuring his ankle.

Football Team 29, Buccaneers 19: Antonio Gibson’s 64 yards and two touchdowns on 24 attempts was nearly heroic against Tampa Bay’s dominant run defense.

Panthers 34, Cardinals 10: Christian McCaffrey is once again match-up proof after producing 161 total yards on 13 carries and 10 receptions.

Vikings 27, Chargers 20: Durability is an issue, but Dalvin Cook remains a premium option when he’s on the field. Cook has at least 78 yards or a touchdown in six of seven games played this season.

Eagles 30, Broncos 13: In four games with a healthy Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton has six receptions (12 targets), 92 yards and zero touchdowns.

Packers 17, Seahawks 0: Alex Collins and Travis Homer handled all the backfield duties for Seattle. It’s looking like Rashaad Penny’s days with the Seahawks are numbered.

Chiefs 41, Raiders 14: Mecole Hardman looks like he has fell behind Byron Pringle, Josh Gordon and Demarcus Robinson on Kansas City’s wide receiver depth chart. Hardman was fifth in snaps (24) and routes ran (17).

49ers 31, Rams 10: San Francisco would run the ball 44 times every week if it had its way.

Follow me on Twitter @UTEddieBrown if you have questions throughout the week.

Here’s my best bets for Week 11:

NEW ENGLAND AT ATLANTA

Obvious starters: Hunter Henry (NE), Patriots D/ST, Kyle Pitts (ATL).

Who to start: Mac Jones (NE) deserves streaming consideration against a defense that has allowed 19 touchdown passes in nine games. Both Damien Harris (NE) and Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) have flex value with upside against a defense allowing the third-most points to running backs. Jakobi Meyers (NE) finally caught a touchdown last week and has a team-best 24 percent target share.

Who to sit: Jonnu Smith (NE) remains touchdown-dependent. Nelson Agholor (NE) remains boom-or-bust. Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) is a game-time decision with a mild high-ankle sprain. Regardless, I’m fading Mike Davis (ATL) and Wayne Gallman (ATL). The matchup makes it difficult to trust Matt Ryan (ATL) or any of his wide receivers.

Sleeper: Kendrick Bourne (NE) has produced at least four receptions or a touchdown in six of the last eight games.

INDIANAPOLIS AT BUFFALO

Obvious starters: Jonathan Taylor (IND), Michael Pittman Jr. (IND), Josh Allen (BUF), Stefon Diggs (BUF), Bills D/ST.

Who to start: Emmanuel Sanders (BUF) has WR3/flex upside against a defense that has allowed 15 touchdowns to wide receivers in 10 games. Dawson Knox (BUF) faces a defense that has allowed at least five receptions or a touchdown to tight ends in eight of 10 games this season.

Who to sit: I’m fading the Colts D/ST on the road against a dynamic offense. Nyheim Hines (IND) only has value in the deepest PPR formats. Carson Wentz (IND) faces a defense that has only allowed six touchdown passes in nine games. TY Hilton (IND) has been inefficient when he has played this season — only seven receptions out of 14 targets. Mo Alie-Cox (IND) remains touchdown-dependent. It’s hard to trust either Zack Moss (BUF) or Devin Singletary (BUF) at this point. Cole Beasley (BUF) has missed practice with a rib injury this week that limited him against the Jets.

Sleeper: Gabriel Davis (BUF) is a boom-or-bust option who could pay off with a limited Beasley.

BALTIMORE AT CHICAGO

Obvious starters: Lamar Jackson (BAL), Mark Andrews (BAL), Marquise Brown (BAL), Ravens D/ST, David Montgomery (CHI).

Who to start: A solid 28 targets in four games gives Rashod Bateman (BAL) WR3/flex upside against a defense that has allowed 12 touchdowns to wide receivers in nine games. Darnell Mooney (CHI) has at least six receptions, 64 yards or a touchdown in three of the last four games. Allen Robinson (CHI) remains a flex option in deeper leagues based on talent alone. Cole Kmet (CHI) faces a defense that has allowed at least four receptions, 45 yards or a touchdown to tight ends in every game.

Who to sit: Devonta Freeman (BAL) and Latavius Murray (BAL) — if Murray is active — are touchdown-dependent options this week.

Sleeper: Justin Fields (CHI) is the QB13 since Week 8 and he was on a bye last week.

DETROIT AT CLEVELAND

Obvious starters: D’Andre Swift (DET), TJ Hockenson (DET), Browns D/ST.

Who to start: You’re starting Nick Chubb (CLE) if he’s activated off the COVID-19 list. Decent usage makes Jarvis Landry (CLE) a solid flex play in PPR.

Who to sit: Jamaal Williams (DET) remains touchdown-dependent if he’s active. Kalif Raymond (DET) is merely a boom-or-bust option at this point. Jared Goff (DET) has one touchdown pass in the last five games. D’Ernest Johnson (CLE) becomes an obvious start if Chubb remains inactive. I’m fading a hurting Baker Mayfield (CLE). Austin Hooper (CLE) and David Njoku (CLE) remain touchdown-dependent. Donovan Peoples-Jones (CLE) has become a boom-or-bust option.

Sleeper: Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) has at least five targets in six of the last seven games he’s played.

HOUSTON AT TENNESSEE

Obvious starters: Brandin Cooks (HOU), AJ Brown (TEN), Titans D/ST.

Who to start: This is a premium match-up for Ryan Tannehill (TEN), who has a rushing touchdown in four of the last five games. Double-digit touches should help D’Onta Foreman (TEN) produce flex-worthy stats against a soft defense.

Who to sit: Adrian Peterson (TEN) remains touchdown-dependent. We need a bigger sample size to trust Marcus Johnson (TEN).

Sleeper: Tyrod Taylor (HOU) is a sneaky streaming option in deeper leagues against a defense that has allowed 18 touchdown passes in 10 games.

GREEN BAY AT MINNESOTA

Obvious starters: Davante Adams (GB), Aaron Rodgers (GB), Dalvin Cook (MIN), Justin Jefferson (MIN).

Who to start: A heavy workload gives AJ Dillon (GB) RB1 upside against a mediocre run defense. Adam Thielen (MIN) maintains WR3/flex upside with a 23 percent target share. Tyler Conklin (MIN) has at least four receptions, 71 yards or a touchdown in seven of nine games this season.

Who to sit: I’m fading a good Packers D/ST against an efficient offense on the road. Randall Cobb (GB) only has value in deeper PPR formats. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) remains boom-or-bust. I’m fading Kirk Cousins (MIN) against a defense that has allowed one-or-fewer touchdown passes in six of the last seven games.

Sleeper: Allen Lazard (GB) is a flex flier against a defense allowing the seventh-most points to wide receivers this season.

MIAMI AT N.Y. JETS

Obvious starters: Mike Gesicki (MIA), Jaylen Waddle (MIA), Dolphins D/ST, Michael Carter (NYJ).

Who to start: A heavy workload — at least 15 touches in four straight — gives Myles Gaskin (MIA) RB2 upside with such a premium match-up. Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) deserves streaming consideration against a defense that has allowed multiple touchdowns to quarterbacks in five straight games. Corey Davis (NYJ) maintains WR3/flex upside with at least five targets in every game he’s played this season. Elijah Moore (NYJ) has at least six receptions, 67 yards or a touchdown in four straight games. Ty Johnson (NYJ) has at least five receptions or a touchdown in five straight games.

Who to sit: Jamison Crowder (NYJ) only has flex value in deeper PPR formats. Keelan Cole (NYJ) remains boom-or-bust. Friends don’t let friends consider Joe Flacco (NYJ) in fantasy.

Sleeper: Salvon Ahmed (MIA) is a flex option in deeper standard leagues against a defense that has allowed at least three touchdowns (!) to running backs in three of the last four games.

NEW ORLEANS AT PHILADELPHIA

Obvious starters: Jalen Hurts (PHI).

Who to start: You’re starting Alvin Kamara (NO) if he’s active. Mark Ingram (NO) maintains flex value in deeper leagues regardless of Kamara’s status. DeVonta Smith (PHI) has at least five receptions, 61 yards or a touchdown in six of 10 games this season.

Who to sit: I’m fading the Saints D/ST against an offense that has only produced four turnovers in the last five games. Marquez Callaway (NO) remains touchdown-dependent. This is a difficult match-up to trust Deonte Harris (NO) as anything other than a lottery ticket because of his big-play ability. I’m fading Dallas Goedert (PHI) against a defense that has covered tight ends well all season. I’m fading both Jordan Howard (PHI) and Boston Scott (PHI) against an elite run defense.

Sleeper: Adam Trautman (NO) faces a defense that has allowed at least eight receptions, 89 yards or a touchdown to tight ends in eight straight games.

WASHINGTON AT CAROLINA

Obvious starters: Terry McLaurin (WAS), Christian McCaffrey (CAR), DJ Moore (CAR), Panthers D/ST.

Who to start: It’s easy to fade Antonio Gibson (WAS) every week because of his shin injury, but we saw what he’s capable of against the Buccaneers. JD McKissic (WAS) maintains flex value in PPR with at least four receptions in six of the last eight games. Cam Newton (CAR) faces a defense that has allowed 22 touchdowns to quarterbacks in 10 games this season.

Who to sit: I’m fading the Football Team D/ST with Chase Young sidelined for the season. Taylor Heinicke (WAS) faces a defense that has allowed one-or-fewer touchdowns to quarterbacks in seven of 10 games this season. Ricky Seals-Jones (WAS) has a hip injury that could severely limit him if he’s active this week.

Sleeper: Robby Anderson (CAR) looked invigorated in a small sample size with Newton under center.

SAN FRANCISCO AT JACKSONVILLE

Obvious starters: Deebo Samuel (SF), George Kittle (SF), 49ers D/ST, James Robinson (JAX).

Who to start: A heavy workload — at least 18 touches in five of seven games played — helps Elijah Mitchell (SF) maintain RB2 upside despite the broken finger. Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) is fantasy’s QB1 since Week 8. Dan Arnold (JAX) is the TE6 in standard and TE3 in PPR since Week 8.

Who to sit: Brandon Aiyuk (SF) is trending in the right direction, but there’s still a lot of risk in playing him. Both Marvin Jones Jr. (JAX) and Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAX) remain touchdown-dependent options as Trevor Lawrence (JAX) continues to develop. If there ever was a consistent lottery ticket, it’s Jamal Agnew (JAX).

Sleeper: Jeff Wilson (SF) is a sneaky flex play since the game script could dictate double-digit carries again and some potential touchdown equity.

CINCINNATI AT LAS VEGAS

Obvious starters: Joe Mixon (CIN), Ja’Marr Chase (CIN), Joe Burrow (CIN), Darren Waller (LV).

Who to start: Tee Higgins (CIN) has at least 62 yards or a touchdown in five of seven games played this season. Josh Jacobs (LV) faces a defense that has allowed 133 rushing yards or a touchdown to running backs in six straight games. Hunter Renfrow (LV) is PPR’s WR8 since the Raiders’ Week 8 bye. Darek Carr (LV) continues to be one fantasy’s top streaming options at quarterback. Kenyan Drake (LV) has standalone flex value, but could feature more upside if Jacobs is limited with a knee injury.

Who to sit: Tyler Boyd (CIN) was WR45 in PPR over his last four games before the bye. Bryan Edwards (LV) remains a boom-or-bust option. Ditto goes for DeSean Jackson (LV).

Sleeper: CJ Uzomah (CIN) is facing a defense that has allowed at least 10 receptions, 70 yards or a touchdown to tight ends in seven straight games.

DALLAS AT KANSAS CITY

Obvious starters: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL), Dak Prescott (DAL), CeeDee Lamb (DAL), Amari Cooper (DAL), Patrick Mahomes (KC), Travis Kelce (KC), Tyreek Hill (KC).

Who to start: Dalton Schultz (DAL) faces a defense that has allowed six touchdowns to tight ends in the last seven games. Tony Pollard (DAL) maintains flex value in deeper PPR formats. Darrel Williams (KC) maintains RB2 upside unless Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) is active, then both would be considered flex options.

Who to sit: I’m fading a solid Cowboys D/ST against a high-powered offense that looks like it righted the ship last week. Mecole Hardman (KC) remains boom-or-bust.

Sleeper: Michael Gallup (DAL) makes sense as a flex flier in deeper leagues against a defense that has allowed 11 touchdowns to wide receivers in the last nine games.

ARIZONA AT SEATTLE

Obvious starters: James Conner (ARI), DK Metcalf (SEA), Tyler Lockett (SEA).

Who to start: Kyler Murray (ARI) and DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) are obvious starts if active. Zach Ertz (ARI) is a starting option at tight end with Murray back. Christian Kirk (ARI) has WR3/flex upside with at least four receptions or a touchdown in six straight games. I’m expecting a bounce-back performance from Russell Wilson (SEA) at home after the embarrassment at Green Bay.

Who to sit: I’m fading the Cardinals D/ST on the road against a refocused offense after Wilson’s first career shutout. AJ Green (ARI) has regressed to a boom-or-bust option. Rondale Moore (ARI) hasn’t surpassed 25 receiving yards in five straight. Alex Collins (SEA) has regressed to a touchdown-dependent option. Gerald Everett (SEA) is dealing with a groin injury and faces a defense that has shut down tight ends the entire season.

Sleeper: Eno Benjamin (ARI) looks like a lottery ticket in deeper PPR formats.

PITTSBURGH AT L.A. CHARGERS

Obvious starters: Najee Harris (PIT), Diontae Johnson (PIT), Austin Ekeler (LAC), Justin Herbert (LAC), Keenan Allen (LAC).

Who to start: Pat Freiermuth (PIT) has at least five receptions or a touchdown in four straight games — the rookie is fantasy’s TE1 in standard leagues since Week 8 and only behind Travis Kelce in PPR over that span.

Who to sit: I’m fading Chase Claypool (PIT) and Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) with a difficult matchup if they’re active. I’m also fading the Steelers D/ST on the road against Herbert without TJ Watt. Mike Williams (LAC) continued dip in usage is concerning. Jared Cook (LAC) remains touchdown-dependent.

Sleeper: Josh Palmer (LAC) caught a season-high three passes against the Vikings and could see more usage if Williams continues his stagnation.

N.Y. GIANTS AT TAMPA BAY

Obvious starters: Tom Brady (TB), Mike Evans (TB), Chris Godwin (TB), Leonard Fournette (TB), Buccaneers D/ST.

Who to start: A healthy Kenny Golladay (NYG) deserves flex consideration against a beatable (and banged up) secondary. Evan Engram (NYG) faces a defense that has allowed at least five receptions or a touchdown to tight ends in every game this season.

Who to sit: I’m fading Saquon Barkley (NYG) with the match-up if he’s active, but also because I doubt we have clarity on his status until Sunday or Monday. Ditto goes for Devontae Booker (NYG). It’s hard to trust Sterling Shepard (NYG) until we see how his quad/hamstring holds up in game action. Daniel Jones (NYG) has one-or-fewer touchdown passes in seven of nine games this season. I’m fading Rob Gronkowski (TB) until we see he’s healthy as well.

Sleeper: Kadarius Toney (NYG) is a boom-or-bust option that could boom with this match-up and the necessity to keep up with the Buccaneers offense.

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