The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is off to a fast start. The season began on June 1. Two named storms formed before the official start of the season in May.
Tropical Storm Cristobal is the season’s 3rd named storm. Forecast models move the storm north through the Gulf of Mexico to near the Gulf Coast this weekend.
Tropical Storm Cristobal projected path
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
Hurricane season 2020: Off and running
Cristobal is the earliest 3rd tropical storm on record in the Atlantic basin.
Cristobal arrives a full two months ahead of the average date for the 3rd Atlantic basin tropical storm, August 3.
Gulf Coast threat this weekend
The spaghetti models favor a landfall on the Gulf Coast this weekend.
Tropical Storm Cristobal forecast model tracks
NOAA via tropicaltidbits.com
Most models keep Cristobal at tropical storm strength before landfall.
Tropical Storm Cristobal model intensity forecasts
NOAA via tropical tidbits
But it is important to note that rapid intensification of tropical cyclones is increasing as oceans warm. Forecast models show higher skill at predicting storm tracks than storm intensity.
Cristobal will have to be watched closely over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico for possible intensification to hurricane intensity before landfall.
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June 04, 2020 at 12:27AM
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2020 Atlantic hurricane season off to a record fast start - Minnesota Public Radio News
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